Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 28, 2021 at 5pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 2
Freiburg

Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
62.02%	20.57%	17.4%

Both teams to score 55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.96%

41.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.56%

63.44%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.3%

12.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.08%

38.92%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63%

37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.21%

73.79%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 62.02%

Freiburg 17.4%

Draw 20.57%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.84% 4-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.02%	1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 4.79% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.4%