FC Koln vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.