Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln2 - 3Mainz 05
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 30.1% | 26.52% | 43.39% |
| Both teams to score 50.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
