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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 23.28% | 23.63% | 53.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% | 46.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% | 68.84% |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% | 34.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% | 70.91% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% | 17.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% | 47.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 6.42% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 5.29% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.71% Total : 53.08% |