MX23RW : Friday, March 29 11:36:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Freiburg logo

Mainz 05
1 - 0
Freiburg

Quaison (84')
Bell (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hofler (21'), Schlotterbeck (33'), Schmid (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFreiburg
35.81%27.97%36.22%
Both teams to score 47.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88%58.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22%78.78%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08%30.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79%67.21%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.91%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.81%
    Freiburg 36.22%
    Draw 27.96%
Mainz 05DrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.81%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.22%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Freiburg

Mainz 05
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
Freiburg
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Petersen (63')
Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
1-2
Freiburg
Mateta (82')
Baku (26'), Hack (40'), Kunde (51'), Niakhate (82')
Chang-Hoon (28'), Petersen (41')
Haberer (37'), Abrashi (82')
Aug 17, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-0
Mainz
Holer (81'), Schmid (84'), Waldschmidt (87' pen.)
Lienhart (62')

St Juste (11'), Latza (30'), Fernandes (34')
Apr 5, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Mainz
5-0
Freiburg
Boetius (20'), Mateta (25', 33', 77'), Onisiwo (73')
Kunde (41'), Latza (57'), Maxim (64')

Hofler (45')
Nov 10, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
1-3
Mainz
Sallai (72')
Hofler (67'), Gulde (77')
Gbamin (6'), Mateta (18'), Onisiwo (75')
Onisiwo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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