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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.34%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 4.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.72%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
86.34% | 8.78% | 4.88% |
Both teams to score 54.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.08% | 18.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.43% | 36.57% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.1% | 2.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.83% | 13.17% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.26% | 43.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.09% | 79.91% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
3-0 @ 9.41% 4-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-1 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 6.59% 5-0 @ 5.91% 5-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.49% 6-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.22% 6-1 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 2.85% 5-2 @ 2.02% 7-0 @ 1.77% 7-1 @ 1.46% 6-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 5.18% Total : 86.34% | 1-1 @ 3.72% 2-2 @ 2.72% 0-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.07% Total : 8.78% | 1-2 @ 1.54% 0-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.3% Total : 4.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |