Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
5 - 1
FC Koln

Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.34%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 4.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.72%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	FC Koln
86.34%	8.78%	4.88%

Both teams to score 54.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.08%

18.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.43%

36.57%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.1%

2.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.83%

13.17%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.26%

43.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.09%

79.91%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 86.34%

FC Koln 4.88%

Draw 8.78%

Bayern Munich	Draw	FC Koln
3-0 @ 9.41% 4-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-1 @ 6.9% 2-1 @ 6.59% 5-0 @ 5.91% 5-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.49% 6-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.22% 6-1 @ 2.89% 4-2 @ 2.85% 5-2 @ 2.02% 7-0 @ 1.77% 7-1 @ 1.46% 6-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 5.18% Total : 86.34%	1-1 @ 3.72% 2-2 @ 2.72% 0-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.07% Total : 8.78%	1-2 @ 1.54% 0-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.3% Total : 4.88%