Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
42.2%	28.08%	29.73%

Both teams to score 46.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.41%

59.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.08%

79.93%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11%

27.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5%

63.5%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.07%

35.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3%

72.71%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 42.19%

Arminia Bielefeld 29.72%

Draw 28.07%

Mainz 05	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.77% Total : 42.19%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.07%	0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.98% Total : 29.72%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld

Mainz 05

60.0%

Draw

40.0%

Arminia Bielefeld

0.0%