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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 27.56% | 26.33% | 46.11% |
| Both teams to score 49.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% | 54.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% | 75.59% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% | 34.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% | 71.45% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% | 23.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% | 57.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.1% |