Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.