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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 22.93% | 22.49% | 54.58% |
| Both teams to score 57.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% | 15.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% | 44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 5.97% 1-0 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 6.15% 0-3 @ 5.39% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.89% 0-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.65% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.58% |