Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Jan 9, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 3
Dortmund

Sorloth (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
29.31%	23.61%	47.08%

Both teams to score 60%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41%

41.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01%

63.98%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75%

62.25%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11%

17.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32%

48.68%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 29.31%

Borussia Dortmund 47.08%

Draw 23.61%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.14% 1-0 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.31%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.08%