Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.