Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Jan 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Steffen (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
52.04%	22.99%	24.97%

Both teams to score 58.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92%

42.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52%

64.48%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77%

16.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.26%

45.74%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46%

66.54%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 52.04%

Wolfsburg 24.97%

Draw 22.99%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.04%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3% Total : 24.97%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund

74.8%

Draw

15.0%

Wolfsburg

10.2%