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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
67.87% | 17.82% | 14.31% |
Both teams to score 57.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.83% | 34.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.78% | 9.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.79% | 31.21% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% | 36.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% | 73.32% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.66% 3-0 @ 7.61% 4-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.68% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.39% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.14% Total : 14.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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