/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
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Emre Can
68'
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Thomas Meunier
73'
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Phillipp Mwene
40'
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Alexander Hack
47'
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Levin Oztunali
57'
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
67.87%
Draw
17.82%
Mainz 05
14.31%
Both Teams to Score:
57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5
65.83%
Under 2.5
34.17%
Over 3.5
43.94%
Under 3.5
56.06%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
90.78%
Under 0.5
9.22%
Over 1.5
68.79%
Under 1.5
31.21%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
63.46%
Under 0.5
36.54%
Over 1.5
26.68%
Under 1.5
73.32%
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
67.87%
Draw
17.82%
Mainz 05
14.31%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.64%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 7.61%
4-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 67.87%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 7.61%
4-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 67.87%
Draw
1-1
@
8.09%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.82%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.82%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
4.07%
0-1 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.31%
0-1 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.31%