Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 16, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Meunier (73')
Can (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
67.87%	17.82%	14.31%

Both teams to score 57.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.83%

34.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.94%

56.06%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.78%

9.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.79%

31.21%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46%

36.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68%

73.32%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 67.87%

Mainz 05 14.31%

Draw 17.82%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.66% 3-0 @ 7.61% 4-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.68% Total : 67.87%	1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.82%	1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.39% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.14% Total : 14.31%