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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Mainz logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Meunier (73')
Can (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
67.87%17.82%14.31%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.94%56.06%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79%31.21%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.87%
    Mainz 05 14.31%
    Draw 17.82%
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 7.61%
4-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 67.87%
1-1 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-1 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.31%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Mainz 05
7.7%
91
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
2-1
Mainz
Sancho (17', 24')
Quaison (83')
Mateta (42')
Nov 24, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-2
Dortmund
Quaison (70')
Hack (26'), Kunde (30')
Alcacer (66'), Piszczek (76')
Delaney (34')
May 5, 2018 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Mainz
Philipp (16')
Weigl (41'), Reus (54'), Sokratis (77')
Baku (4'), Muto (13')
Baku (30'), Muto (67'), Bell (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29254074195579
2Bayern MunichBayern29203682364663
3Stuttgart29203667343363
4RB Leipzig29175767333456
5Borussia DortmundDortmund29168557342356
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29101274339442
7Augsburg29109104746139
8Freiburg29116124152-1139
9Hoffenheim29106134957-836
10Heidenheim29810114250-834
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29710125056-631
12Werder Bremen2987143649-1331
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2985162545-2029
14Wolfsburg2977153450-1628
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum29512123459-2527
16Mainz 05Mainz29511133047-1726
17FC Koln29410152351-2822
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2928192872-4414


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