Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 1
Werder Bremen

Barreiro (73'), Niakhate (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dinkci (90')
Eggestein (50'), Gross (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Werder Bremen
38.19%	24.53%	37.28%

Both teams to score 59.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.57%

43.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.18%

65.82%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36%

22.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74%

56.26%

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9%

23.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05%

56.95%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 38.19%

Werder Bremen 37.28%

Draw 24.53%

Mainz 05	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.34% 0-1 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.28%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

Mainz 05

37.9%

Draw

41.4%

Werder Bremen

20.7%