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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 52.22% | 21.9% | 25.87% |
| Both teams to score 63.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.92% | 36.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.82% | 58.18% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.97% | 14.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.41% | 41.59% |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% | 26.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% | 61.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.9% 4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.87% |