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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
52.22% | 21.9% | 25.87% |
Both teams to score 63.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.92% | 36.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.82% | 58.18% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.97% | 14.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.41% | 41.59% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% | 26.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% | 61.64% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.9% 4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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