Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Dec 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 1
FC Koln

Niakhate (37'), Latza (45+1'), Onisiwo (67'), Stoger (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rexhbecaj (55')
Ozcan (70'), Duda (75'), Horn (81')
Duda (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	FC Koln
34.35%	24.44%	41.21%

Both teams to score 59.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64%

43.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24%

65.75%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32%

24.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79%

59.2%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87%

21.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02%

53.97%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 34.35%

FC Koln 41.21%

Draw 24.43%

Mainz 05	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.35%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 8.82% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.21%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs FC Koln

Mainz 05

40.6%

Draw

21.9%

FC Koln

37.5%