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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 35.87% | 25.03% | 39.1% |
| Both teams to score 57.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% | 45.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% | 68.17% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% | 23.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% | 57.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-1 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.1% |