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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | FC Koln |
| 45.98% | 23.71% | 30.31% |
| Both teams to score 60.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% | 41.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% | 63.87% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% | 18.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% | 49.35% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% | 26.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% | 61.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.59% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.31% |