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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
43.66% | 24.04% | 32.3% |
Both teams to score 60.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.86% | 42.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.46% | 64.54% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% | 19.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% | 51.41% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% | 25.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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