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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 43.66% | 24.04% | 32.3% |
| Both teams to score 60.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% | 42.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% | 64.54% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% | 19.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% | 51.41% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% | 60.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.3% |