Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

Jun 17, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
FC Koln

Bender (7'), Havertz (40'), Diaby (83')
Aranguiz (29'), Dragovic (45')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bornauw (59')
Czichos (21'), Leistner (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.59%) and 3-1 (6.59%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
54.02%	20.81%	25.16%

Both teams to score 66.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.58%

31.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.12%

52.87%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.09%

11.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.76%

37.23%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54%

24.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1%

58.89%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 54.02%

FC Koln 25.16%

Draw 20.81%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 6.59% 1-0 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.51% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 1.49% 4-3 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.02%	1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 2.91% 3-3 @ 2.18% Other @ 0.46% Total : 20.81%	1-2 @ 6.14% 0-1 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.62% Total : 25.16%