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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 24.88% | 22.12% | 53% |
| Both teams to score 61.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.91% | 38.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.64% | 60.35% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% | 63.99% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% | 14.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.53% | 42.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% 1-0 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.88% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.93% 1-4 @ 3% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.36% Total : 53% |