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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 35.19% | 26.12% | 38.69% |
| Both teams to score 53.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% | 27.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% | 63.25% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% | 25.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% | 60.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.69% |