Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Manuel Prietl 21' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 31' goal
  • Sven Schipplock 74' yellowcard
  • Marcel Hartel 85' yellowcard
  • Fabian Kunze 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 49'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 66'
  • goal Kevin Stoger 82'

Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2020 5.00pm
Mainz 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jean-Philippe Mateta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Arminia Bielefeld 30.49%
Draw 24.75%
Mainz 05 44.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.85%
Under 2.5 46.15%
Over 3.5 31.55%
Under 3.5 68.45%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5 71.57%
Under 0.5 28.43%
Over 1.5 35.82%
Under 1.5 64.18%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 79.31%
Under 0.5 20.69%
Over 1.5 46.71%
Under 1.5 53.29%

Score analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 30.49%
Draw 24.75%
Mainz 05 44.76%
Arminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 30.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.75%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 4.82%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.76%