Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Dec 5, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

ShucoArena

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Mainz 05
30.49%	24.75%	44.76%

Both teams to score 56.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.85%

46.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.55%

68.45%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57%

28.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82%

64.18%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31%

20.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71%

53.29%

Score Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 30.49%

Mainz 05 44.76%

Draw 24.75%

Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.49%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 4.82% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.76%