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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
19% | 20.47% | 60.53% |
Both teams to score 58.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.16% | 37.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.91% | 60.08% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% | 33.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% | 69.96% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.86% | 12.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.27% | 37.73% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 5.15% 1-0 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.09% Total : 19% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 6.95% 0-3 @ 6.33% 2-3 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 3.67% 0-4 @ 3.34% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 4.06% Total : 60.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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