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Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld logos
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
ShucoArena
Bayern logo

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 4
Bayern

Doan (58')
De Medina (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Muller (8', 51'), Lewandowski (26', 45+1')
Tolisso (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga fixture between Arminia Bielefeld and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.08%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawBayern Munich
9.85%14.67%75.48%
Both teams to score 54.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.31%30.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.97%52.03%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78%41.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25%77.75%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.22%6.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.96%25.04%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 9.85%
    Bayern Munich 75.47%
    Draw 14.67%
Arminia BielefeldDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.96%
1-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.18%
2-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.85%
1-1 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 3.98%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.67%
0-2 @ 10.12%
0-3 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 8.97%
1-3 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 7.53%
0-4 @ 6.11%
1-4 @ 5.42%
2-3 @ 3.57%
0-5 @ 3.29%
1-5 @ 2.92%
2-4 @ 2.4%
0-6 @ 1.48%
1-6 @ 1.31%
2-5 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 75.47%