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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Bayern

Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
10.85%13.85%75.3%
Both teams to score 63.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.08%22.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.84%42.15%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48%33.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84%70.16%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.87%5.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.62%20.38%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 10.85%
    Bayern Munich 75.3%
    Draw 13.86%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.05%
1-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-1 @ 1.11%
2-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 10.85%
1-1 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.53%
0-0 @ 1.72%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 13.86%
1-2 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.59%
0-3 @ 7.52%
1-4 @ 6.1%
0-4 @ 5.58%
0-1 @ 5.11%
2-3 @ 4.49%
1-5 @ 3.63%
2-4 @ 3.34%
0-5 @ 3.32%
2-5 @ 1.98%
1-6 @ 1.8%
0-6 @ 1.64%
3-4 @ 1.22%
2-6 @ 0.98%
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 75.3%