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Bayern logo
Champions League | Round of 16
Aug 8, 2020 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Chelsea logo
Bayern
4 - 1
Chelsea
Lewandowski (10' pen., 84'), Perisic (24'), Tolisso (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Abraham (44')
Caballero (8'), Palmieri (43')
The Match
Match Report
The Poland striker added to his half-century of goals this season with two more in a 4-1 Champions League win over the Blues.
Team News
Bayern boss Hansi Flick admitted he must now choose between Ivan Perisic and Philippe Coutinho to replace Kingsley Coman.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Champions League last-16 second leg between Bayern Munich and Chelsea, including team news and predicted lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Ahead of Chelsea's trip to Bayern Munich for the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie, Sports Mole looks at how the Blues could line up.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Champions League meeting with Bayern Munich.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 3-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawChelsea
47.74%20.19%32.07%
Both teams to score 74.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.94%23.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.66%42.33%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26%10.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.3%34.69%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81%16.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33%45.67%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 47.74%
    Chelsea 32.07%
    Draw 20.19%
Bayern MunichDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-2 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 4.33%
1-0 @ 3.88%
4-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 3.22%
4-2 @ 2.98%
4-3 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 1.46%
5-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 47.74%
2-2 @ 7.17%
1-1 @ 7.06%
3-3 @ 3.24%
0-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 6.43%
2-3 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 3.9%
0-1 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 2.88%
2-4 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.75%
3-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2020 8pm
Jul 25, 2017 12.35pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Chelsea
2-3
Bayern
Alonso (45'), Batshuayi (85')
Moses (29')
Rafinha (6'), Muller (12', 27')
Aug 30, 2013 7.45pm
UEFA Super Cup 2013
Bayern
2-2
Chelsea
Bayern win 5-4 on penalties
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014

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