Hoffenheim

4 - 0

Union Berlin

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.