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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 34.7% | 23.99% | 41.31% |
| Both teams to score 61.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% | 41.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.46% | 63.54% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% | 23.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% | 52.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.01% Total : 41.31% |