Champions League

Champions League | Semi-Finals

Aug 19, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Lyon
0 - 3
Bayern

Marcelo (35'), Marcal (42'), Mendes (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gnabry (18', 33'), Lewandowski (88')

Reaction

Bayern Munich's Alphonso Davies in action against Chelsea in the Champions League on February 26, 2020

Alphonso Davies: 'We are hungry for Champions League success'

The German champions will face PSG in the Champions League final in Lisbon on Sunday.

Aug 19, 22:20

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.35%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Bayern Munich
15.16%	24.67%	60.17%

Both teams to score 38.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49%

60.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38%

80.62%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.39%

51.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.26%

85.74%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9%

20.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65%

52.34%

Score Analysis

Lyon 15.16%

Bayern Munich 60.16%

Draw 24.66%

Lyon	Draw	Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 6.86% 2-1 @ 3.64% 2-0 @ 2.27% Other @ 2.39% Total : 15.16%	1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.37% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 16.64% 0-2 @ 13.35% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-4 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.16%