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Champions League | Round of 16
Aug 7, 2020 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Lyon

Juventus
2 - 1
Lyon

Ronaldo (43' pen., 60')
Cuadrado (31'), Bentancur (44'), Khedira (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Depay (12' pen.)
Aouar (19'), Dubois (38'), Depay (42'), Lopes (76'), Cornet (79'), Caqueret (87'), Marcal (89')

The Match

Match Report

Memphis Depay's early penalty proved crucial for the French side to progress.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Champions League last-16 second leg between Juventus and Lyon, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLyon
70.51%15.73%13.76%
Both teams to score 64.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.41%44.59%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.67%6.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.19%23.81%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93%67.07%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 70.51%
    Lyon 13.76%
    Draw 15.73%
JuventusDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 6.83%
4-1 @ 5.55%
1-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 4.74%
4-0 @ 4.71%
4-2 @ 3.27%
5-1 @ 3.06%
5-0 @ 2.6%
5-2 @ 1.8%
6-1 @ 1.41%
4-3 @ 1.28%
6-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 70.51%
1-1 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 1.95%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 15.73%
1-2 @ 3.73%
0-1 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.47%
0-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 13.76%