Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Jun 6, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 4
Bayern

Alario (10'), Wirtz (89')
Amiri (30'), Bellarabi (35'), Dragovic (74')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Coman (27'), Goretzka (42'), Gnabry (45'), Lewandowski (66')
Coman (8'), Lewandowski (32'), Muller (40')

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.17%) and 1-3 (6.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
23.25%	20.66%	56.09%

Both teams to score 64.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.23%

32.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.54%

54.46%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39%

26.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.16%

61.84%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.23%

11.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.04%

36.95%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 23.25%

Bayern Munich 56.09%

Draw 20.66%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 2.77% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 23.25%	1-1 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 3.13% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 4.48% 1-4 @ 3.62% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.8% Total : 56.09%