Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

May 17, 2020 at 5pm UK

An der alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 2
Bayern

Lenz (12'), Schlotterbeck (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lewandowski (40' pen.), Pavard (80')
Davies (37')

Reaction

Thomas Muller in action for Bayern Munich against Union Berlin on May 17, 2020

Manuel Neuer, Thomas Muller pleased as Bayern Munich return with a win

Bayern Munich are four points clear at the top of the Bundesliga.

May 17, 22:04

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
9.31%	13.58%	77.12%

Both teams to score 57.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.33%

26.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.92%

47.08%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77%

39.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06%

75.93%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.38%

5.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.19%

21.81%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 9.31%

Bayern Munich 77.12%

Draw 13.58%

Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.78% 1-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.25% 2-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.25% Total : 9.31%	1-1 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 2.21% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.58%	0-2 @ 9.14% 0-3 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 6.35% 0-4 @ 6.32% 1-4 @ 5.91% 2-3 @ 3.84% 0-5 @ 3.64% 1-5 @ 3.4% 2-4 @ 2.77% 0-6 @ 1.75% 1-6 @ 1.63% 2-5 @ 1.59% Other @ 5.24% Total : 77.12%