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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 23.78% | 22.53% | 53.69% |
| Both teams to score 58.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% | 41.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% | 63.55% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% | 30.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% | 67.09% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% | 15.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% | 44.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 6.14% 1-0 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.69% 1-5 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.69% |