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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.5%) and 1-0 (5.21%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%).
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.58% | 21.69% | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 69.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.06% | 29.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.88% | 51.11% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.69% | 14.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.87% | 42.13% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% | 18.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.89% | 50.11% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.5% 1-0 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-3 @ 1.25% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.63% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 7.11% 0-0 @ 2.68% 3-3 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-1 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.66% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.57% Total : 33.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |