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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
70.51% | 15.99% | 13.49% |
Both teams to score 62.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.22% | 26.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.18% | 6.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.88% | 25.12% |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.4% | 32.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.86% | 69.13% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
2-1 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-0 @ 7.18% 1-0 @ 5.97% 4-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 4.51% 4-2 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.91% 5-0 @ 2.59% 5-2 @ 1.63% 6-1 @ 1.3% 6-0 @ 1.16% 4-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.51% | 1-1 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 2.22% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.36% Total : 15.99% | 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-1 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-3 @ 1.4% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.57% Total : 13.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |