Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

May 29, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Olympiastadion

Freiburg
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen

FT(HT: 0-0)

Havertz (54')
Alario (81'), Amiri (90+2')

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Bayer Leverkusen midfielder Kai Havertz pictured in October 2019

Bayer Leverkusen midfielder Kai Havertz sets Bundesliga goalscoring record

Kai Havertz sets a new record in Bayer Leverkusen's 1-0 win against Freiberg, becoming the first Bundesliga player to reach 35 goals before the age of 21.

May 30, 16:02

The Match

Match Report

The young forward has scored seven goals in his last six games in all competitions.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
22.59%	20.78%	56.63%

Both teams to score 63.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.82%

34.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.93%

56.07%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.55%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93%

12.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.4%

37.61%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 22.59%

Bayer Leverkusen 56.63%

Draw 20.78%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.8% 1-0 @ 4.3% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.51% Total : 22.59%	1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.58% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 2.28% 1-5 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.19% 3-4 @ 0.97% 2-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.63%