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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.66%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 26.61% | 21.53% | 51.85% |
| Both teams to score 65.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.42% | 33.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.62% | 55.38% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% | 59.12% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.72% | 13.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.91% | 40.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.61% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 3.27% 3-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 6.66% 0-1 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 4.41% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 2.22% 1-5 @ 1.28% 3-4 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.85% |