MX23RW : Monday, December 16 01:18:08| >> :60:1131:1131:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Oct 15, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Bayern logo

Duren Merzenich
0 - 3
Bayern


Sobiech (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (24', 75'), Muller (36' pen.)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Duren Merzenich and Bayern Munich.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Duren Merzenich had a probability of 6.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.08%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Duren Merzenich win it was 1-0 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Duren MerzenichDrawBayern Munich
6.65%12.56%80.79%
Both teams to score 47.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.82%32.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.21%53.79%
Duren Merzenich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.22%49.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.49%84.51%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9%6.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.85%23.15%
Score Analysis
    Duren Merzenich 6.65%
    Bayern Munich 80.79%
    Draw 12.56%
Duren MerzenichDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 2.12%
2-1 @ 2.07%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 6.65%
1-1 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.03%
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 12.56%
0-2 @ 11.88%
0-3 @ 11.08%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-4 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 7.73%
1-4 @ 5.41%
0-5 @ 4.34%
1-5 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-6 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-6 @ 1.41%
2-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 80.79%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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