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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 3
Hertha Berlin

Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
73.89%15.01%11.1%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.8%49.2%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44%6.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57%24.43%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93%74.07%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.89%
    Hertha Berlin 11.1%
    Draw 15.01%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-0 @ 5.62%
4-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.01%
5-0 @ 3.06%
5-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.73%
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-0 @ 1.39%
6-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 73.89%
1-1 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.42%
0-0 @ 2.45%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-2 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.1%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
Aug 16, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Martinez (62')
Kimmich (51'), Rodriguez (90')

Rekik (84')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Mittelstadt (3'), Selke (67')
Gnabry (7', 49'), Coman (98')
Goretzka (2'), Lewandowski (120')
Sep 28, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Bayern
Ibisevic (23' pen.), Duda (44')
Ibisevic (40'), Dilrosun (90'), Duda (90')

Kimmich (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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