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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 3
Hertha Berlin

Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
73.89%15.01%11.1%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.8%49.2%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44%6.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57%24.43%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93%74.07%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.89%
    Hertha Berlin 11.1%
    Draw 15.01%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-0 @ 5.62%
4-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.01%
5-0 @ 3.06%
5-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.73%
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-0 @ 1.39%
6-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 73.89%
1-1 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.42%
0-0 @ 2.45%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-2 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.1%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
Aug 16, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Martinez (62')
Kimmich (51'), Rodriguez (90')

Rekik (84')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Mittelstadt (3'), Selke (67')
Gnabry (7', 49'), Coman (98')
Goretzka (2'), Lewandowski (120')
Sep 28, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Bayern
Ibisevic (23' pen.), Duda (44')
Ibisevic (40'), Dilrosun (90'), Duda (90')

Kimmich (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
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49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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