/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
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Corentin Tolisso
18'
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Thomas Muller
32'
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Lucas Hernandez
66'
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Joshua Kimmich
82'
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Julian Brandt
39'
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Erling Braut Haaland
55'
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Bayern Munich
52.58%
Draw
21.09%
Borussia Dortmund
26.33%
Both Teams to Score:
66.79%
Goals
Over 2.5
68.38%
Under 2.5
31.62%
Over 3.5
46.87%
Under 3.5
53.12%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
87.61%
Under 0.5
12.39%
Over 1.5
61.74%
Under 1.5
38.26%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
76.23%
Under 0.5
23.77%
Over 1.5
42.08%
Under 1.5
57.92%
Score analysis
Bayern Munich
52.58%
Draw
21.09%
Borussia Dortmund
26.33%
Bayern Munich
2-1
@
9.23%
3-1 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 6.42%
1-0 @ 6.15%
3-2 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.47%
4-1 @ 3.35%
4-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.58%
3-1 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 6.42%
1-0 @ 6.15%
3-2 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.47%
4-1 @ 3.35%
4-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 52.58%
Draw
1-1
@
8.84%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.09%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.09%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
6.35%
0-1 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.14%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.14%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.33%