Bayern
3 - 2
Dortmund

Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFL-Supercup clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
52.58%	21.09%	26.33%

Both teams to score 66.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.38%

31.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.87%

53.12%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61%

12.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.74%

38.26%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23%

23.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08%

57.92%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 52.58%

Borussia Dortmund 26.33%

Draw 21.09%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.23% 3-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 6.42% 1-0 @ 6.15% 3-2 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.47% 4-1 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.58%	1-1 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.33%