MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 00:43:16| >> :60:539:539:
Bayern logo
DFL-Supercup | DFL Supercup
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
3 - 2
Dortmund

Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFL-Supercup clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
52.58%21.09%26.33%
Both teams to score 66.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.87%53.12%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61%12.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74%38.26%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23%23.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08%57.92%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 52.58%
    Borussia Dortmund 26.33%
    Draw 21.09%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 6.42%
1-0 @ 6.15%
3-2 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.47%
4-1 @ 3.35%
4-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 1.01%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.58%
1-1 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-1 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.14%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.33%

Head to Head
May 26, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Bayern
> Match Report
Nov 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
4-0
Dortmund
> Match Report
Aug 3, 2019 7.30pm
DFL-Supercup
Dortmund
2-0
Bayern
Alcacer (48'), Sancho (69')

Lewandowski (59'), Kimmich (77')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
5-0
Dortmund
Hummels (10'), Lewandowski (17', 89'), Martinez (41'), Gnabry (43')
Lewandowski (70')

Zagadou (40'), Delaney (70')
> Match Report
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
3-2
Bayern
Reus (49' pen., 67'), Alcacer (73')
Weigl (29'), Akanji (36'), Hitz (90')
Lewandowski (26', 52')
Ribery (55'), Sule (87'), Wagner (90')
rhs 2.0
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