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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 39.95% | 24.13% | 35.93% |
| Both teams to score 60.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.37% | 41.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% | 64.03% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% | 20.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% | 53.75% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% | 23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% | 56.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.95% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-1 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.93% |