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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.87%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (5.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Paderborn | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
19.91% | 19.21% | 60.87% |
Both teams to score 65.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.78% | 30.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.54% | 51.45% |
SC Paderborn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% | 27.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% | 63.53% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.24% | 9.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.54% | 32.46% |
Score Analysis |
SC Paderborn | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.56% 2-0 @ 2.22% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.36% Total : 19.91% | 1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 5.72% 2-3 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 4.25% 0-4 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 2.71% 1-5 @ 1.98% 0-5 @ 1.55% 2-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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