Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

May 31, 2020 at 5pm UK

Benteler-Arena

SC Paderborn
1 - 6
Dortmund

Hunemeier (72' pen.)
Collins (60'), Drager (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hazard (54'), Sancho (57', 74', 90+1'), Hakimi (85'), Schmelzer (89')
Sancho (58'), Can (71'), Hummels (76')

Reaction

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The Match

Match Report

There are protests across America and further afield over the death of Mr George Floyd.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between SC Paderborn and Borussia Dortmund, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.87%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (5.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
SC Paderborn	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
19.91%	19.21%	60.87%

Both teams to score 65.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.78%

30.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.54%

51.45%

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08%

27.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47%

63.53%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.24%

9.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.54%

32.46%

Score Analysis

SC Paderborn 19.91%

Borussia Dortmund 60.87%

Draw 19.21%

SC Paderborn	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.56% 2-0 @ 2.22% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.36% Total : 19.91%	1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.21%	1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-3 @ 5.72% 2-3 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 4.25% 0-4 @ 3.33% 2-4 @ 2.71% 1-5 @ 1.98% 0-5 @ 1.55% 2-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.87%