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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 32.06% | 23.28% | 44.66% |
| Both teams to score 62.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% | 60.89% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% | 23.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% | 57.87% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% | 17.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% | 48.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.64% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.92% Total : 44.66% |