Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

May 16, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
4 - 0
Schalke

Braut Haaland (29'), Guerreiro (45', 63'), Hazard (48')
Delaney (53'), Piszczek (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sane (48'), Matondo (86')

Reaction

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Borussia Dortmund striker Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring against Schalke on May 16, 2020

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Schalke 04
65.68%	18.18%	16.14%

Both teams to score 61.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.09%

31.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.54%

53.46%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88%

9.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.04%

30.95%

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2%

32.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63%

69.36%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.68%

Schalke 04 16.14%

Draw 18.18%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.64% 1-0 @ 7.16% 3-0 @ 6.85% 4-1 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 4.26% 4-0 @ 4.1% 4-2 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.97% 5-2 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.68%	1-1 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.18%	1-2 @ 4.45% 0-1 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-2 @ 1.86% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.14%