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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.24%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 19.96% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (7.16%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 19.96% | 19.8% | 60.24% |
| Both teams to score 62.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.23% | 54.77% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% | 29.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% | 65.58% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% | 10.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.27% 1-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.39% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.98% Total : 19.96% | 1-1 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 3.18% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.8% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 7.09% 0-3 @ 5.87% 2-3 @ 4.37% 1-4 @ 3.99% 0-4 @ 3.28% 2-4 @ 2.43% 1-5 @ 1.78% 0-5 @ 1.46% 2-5 @ 1.09% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.2% Total : 60.24% |