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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
70.8% | 16.74% | 12.46% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.59% | 33.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.8% | 55.2% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.62% | 8.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.84% | 29.15% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% | 38.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% | 75.42% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 7.82% 4-0 @ 5.11% 4-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 3.72% 5-0 @ 2.53% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-2 @ 1.14% 6-0 @ 1.05% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.18% Total : 70.8% | 1-1 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.5% 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.74% | 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-1 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |