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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
Jun 17, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Mainz logo

Dortmund
0 - 2
Mainz 05


Piszczek (18'), Hummels (37'), Can (54'), Guerreiro (79'), Hakimi (81'), Witsel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (33'), Mateta (49' pen.)
Caricol (30'), Latza (79'), Szalai (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
70.8%16.74%12.46%
Both teams to score 56.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.59%33.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8%55.2%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62%8.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84%29.15%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32%38.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58%75.42%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 70.8%
    Mainz 05 12.46%
    Draw 16.74%
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
2-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 7.82%
4-0 @ 5.11%
4-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 3.72%
5-0 @ 2.53%
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-2 @ 1.14%
6-0 @ 1.05%
6-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 70.8%
1-1 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 4.5%
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.74%
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-1 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 12.46%