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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 68.04% | 17.69% | 14.26% |
| Both teams to score 57.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.36% | 33.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.54% | 55.46% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% | 9.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.22% | 30.78% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% | 36.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% | 73.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 7.7% 3-0 @ 7.58% 4-1 @ 4.62% 4-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-2 @ 2.35% 5-1 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.84% Total : 68.04% | 1-1 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.88% 0-0 @ 3.28% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.69% | 1-2 @ 4.06% 0-1 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.27% |