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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
20.07% | 21.04% | 58.89% |
Both teams to score 58.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.1% | 38.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% | 32.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.53% | 69.47% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.06% | 12.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.6% | 39.4% |
Score Analysis |
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.38% 1-0 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.32% Total : 20.07% | 1-1 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.9% 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-3 @ 6.75% 0-3 @ 6.07% 2-3 @ 3.75% 1-4 @ 3.45% 0-4 @ 3.1% 2-4 @ 1.92% 1-5 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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