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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 30.52% | 24.64% | 44.84% |
| Both teams to score 57.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% | 45.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% | 67.96% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% | 20.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.11% | 52.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.84% |