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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Augsburg |
40.81% | 25.73% | 33.46% |
Both teams to score 54.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% | 49.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% | 71.44% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.82% | 58.18% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% | 28.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% | 63.77% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.81% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |